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EloHoops

About

NBA game prediction with Elo ratings and the NBA API. Team strength, matchup history, and live stats in one model you can inspect.

Category

Sports Analytics
Industry

Basketball
Year

2023
Timeline

6 weeks
EloHoops
Problem

Box-score takes and betting lines do not tell you how a rating should move after a road back-to-back or a blowout against a weak bench.

Solution

Python pipeline that pulls games, updates Elo, and outputs a pick with the rating delta. The point was to see the algorithm, not to hide it behind a score.

Result

A working predictor and a clearer sense of which games the model should not be trusted on. Code is public.

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